Watching the Crisis

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SAFE Ark Two Newsletter
March 24th, 2013


Watching the Crisis

Which one you may ask? Syria, North Korea, Sequestration - the Budget, Iran, Israeli Rocket, so many - take your pick.



Cyprus

Several people asked me whether I would be getting out a newsletter today and I had to say that I didn't know what to do. For me the 'big' story of the moment is Cyprus which should be climaxing almost any hour - or at least within a day or two.

But - maybe not. Of late all the crises seem to drag on so perhaps I should go ahead and get this out.

The Cyprus situation has been changing from hour to hour. Optimism/pessimism depending upon from whom one gets the last report. Cyprus tries to remain optimistic but there are few others who are.

What it means - I still don't know. Sometimes it is called a "one off' Euro event and other times the beginning of a dominoe effect that will kill the Euro and eventually even the US dollar. On the other hand some have said the US will benefit because the dollar will be the last refuge. With all the talk about the US debt it is about 80% internally held.

Alternatively, the situation is reported as a Russian trap for the IMF and that Ben Bernanke will as result be forced out of the US Federal Reserve. I have no comprehension about these things but you can read about it from this source that was highly recommended to me by a couple of people.

I could provide you with dozens of links about the situation - and while I follow them they are meaningless to report here because they change by the hour and are often contradictory.




Syria
There are many other rumors that I have received in the last few hours. One is about an asassination attempt on Bashar al-Assad. I have been given only one source for that and it is published in Arabic. I have to depend upon the translators interpretation. Supposedly Assad has been shot and is in hospital fighting for his life. The news from there changes by the hour also. First there was the poison gas thing and then Israel launching a rocket into Syria this morning. Just now as I am getting ready to mail this link and also this link just in.


Lebanon
There is much on edge in the whole area. Lebanon's Prime Minister Najib Mikati resigned on Friday effectively dissolving the government and thrusting the country into political uncertainty at a time when the conflict in Syria is sparking sectarian tensions there. The whole issue, concerning Israel, will be where Hezbollah's rocket supply will end up.


Iran
The problems around the world seem to be either money or missiles. I will let North Korea and Iran slide this time regarding missiles but on money - the monetary nuke that Iran was supposed to drop on the 20th (during Obama's trip to Israel) was its oil bourse taking other than US dollars. Again one of those on and off and on things. I don't know how that finally turned out but reportedly that 2008 submarine cable disruption was to stop the launch of Iranian oil bourse.


Saber Rattling
Lots of such cyber warfare reported this week between North Korea and South Korea as well as Russia and China on the US, but I think not much is going to happen Iranwise until after the June 14 presidential election to replace outgoing President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Other than that they may get into it over Syria.

The amount of saber rattling saw a major reduction in the last couple of weeks. I think the reason is that Russia and China have given up threatening and that Russia is preparing for possible war (over Syria) and its actions on the dollar (vis-a-vis the IMF and Cyprus) indicate just that. Russia will back Syria and Iran. China will back Iran. Yes, the US will back Israel.


Good as Gold These interplay of forces are worldwide. I wrote recently about Germany trying to repatriate its Gold from the US. Here is a Texas Story that tops that. With gold - if you don't have it in your hand - you don't have it. Given the bank's inclination to fractional reserve banking - they don't have it either.


Radiation Questions
As the man says, "all of the above is above my pay grade", so perhaps better on to something that I understand a bit more about. One reader wrote:
      "What does a person who has no thyroid or parathyroids do in the case of radiation exposure to the type of radiation that affects the thyroid? Years ago radiation was given to kids like me, I'm 59, for reoccurring respiratory infections and acne. I had them for respiratory infections and had to have my thyroid and parathyroids removed in 2004 because of those treatments."
and my response:

Never heard or thought of that before - but it seems that you simply wouldn't need to take potassium iodide (KI) - which floods the thyroid - and permits the radioactive iodine isotope to be excreted. Your system would just naturally do that. If you can call that an advantage.

Anyway, this set me to thinking about what things I have learned new, or to be different, from what I was taught in my original courses on radiation fifty years ago, and I am going to list them here.

1. That all radiation is bad for you. Not true.

It turns out that some radiation is good for you. I have given long explanations about this before, especially in response to the 'scare industry' that generated out of Fukushima is the last couple of years. BUT - we are not talking about the levels of radiation that would be generated in a nuclear war. For that shelter is still required.

2. The danger of radiation from nuclear plants being bombed is minimal. Not true - but there is worse.

I have had my thinking flipped back and forth on this several times. First we thought that a nuclear plant being nuked would simply disintegrate the nuclear material and add minimually to what would be the radiation burden from the bomb. You have to understand that much of this type of information was considered 'top secret' back then and we had little to go on - but eventually the consensus became - yes it would add to the radiation burden.

However, not that likely that many nuclear generating plants will be bombed. The greater danger may even be that they won't be - and that the cooling pools will melt down and spread even more intense radiation over a much longer period of time.

3. More recently the great bug-a-boo has been EMP. It is certainly a massive threat but there is one conventional wisdom associated with it that experimental studies show to simply be not true - and that is all automobiles will stop. The engineer who designed the device to measure EMP for US government tests told me years ago that it wasn't true. However, he was my only source, and while I had confidence in that, there was no evidence that I could point people to.

Now, a couple of months ago - I received a pdf of a report given to the US Congress of recent tests, and saw videos of the tests themselves. About 80% of automobiles will not be affected. Of those that are, another 15% will continue to run by simply disconnecting the battery and reconnecting it. The remaining 5% would require more service. I am not saying that all the electronic functions in an automobile will continue to perform - because I don't know (and I doubt it).

4. For years and years I said there was no pill that would protect from radiation (other than KI and that is for the thyroid only) or cure it. Turns out now that Prussian Blue is beneficial and that there are other means of chelation.

However, don't buy into it. They are not effective for intense radiation, are not broadly available, and would be impossible to implement in a gigantic or universal catastrophe.

5. Then some years ago I learned about those radiation eating microbes. Not exactly what I thought at first. They don't destroy the radiation. Nothing but time will do that. What they do is stabilize it into other compounds in the soil so that plants won't take it up. A good thing and we need still more research and plans for implementation of this.

6. Radiation detecting ceased to be such an exact science for me. With very expensive equipment, laboratory conditions and skilled personnel - well yes. But in the field - especially for the layman - no. The instruments are designed upon theory that permits considerable leeway. The instruments themselves, fresh from the factory, have a plus or minus ten percent tolerance, and those in people's hands, that have not been recently calibrated, may be inaccurate one way or the other by 20, 30, or 40 percent. Which may lead one to wonder - why bother? The answer is - the presence and trend are extremely important to know. Is it increasing or decreasing? Use of defense strategies such as shielding and decay time will overcome the inadequacies of measurement.

As a side note I should mention that a properly constructed Kearny Fallout Meter is more accurate than many models fresh from the factory.

7. One major thing that has changed, of course, from my early days, was the idea that the government was going to provide shelters and that there would be civilian teams equipped with radiation detection equipment - and know how. All that is gone - and even back then there was a lot of skepticism about the evacuation routes from the cities. We pretty well know now - that is impossible.

8. Years ago we were all convinced that shelters needed one micron air filtering, and I bought expensive units. Today, I tell people to save their money. A damp sheet will do the job, if even that is necessary. While true that we can't see, feel, hear, touch radiation - we can see and touch fallout. If it is not visible on a clean plate - it probably isn't there. Air itself doesn't become radioactive, the problem is the particles in it.

9. The same applies to water as air. Water doesn't become radioactive. One simply has to get the particles out. Over the years the emphasis has changed from being worried so much about the radioactivity as being worried about having enough air and water.

10. I like to make these "lists of ten" but the biggest change that I have seen in the last fifty years is that the public has divided into two parts. One part over-fears radiation and feels there is no defense - and the greater part is indifferent to the subject.


Reader Commentary
Now, for that first promised reader commentary.
      Hi Bruce,


    Just a quick note about Cyprus. I hope NOBODY is troubled by events there. First, their banks have been playing games with the Russian mob, the same way that UBS (Swiss Bank), Bank of England, and others have been the main conduit for laundering drug money from the global cartels! When I recently went to Cyprus to visit friends there, there were three things that really shocked me: a) everybody either produces a huge portion of their own food, or has family that does! b) Practically every home has either solar water heating, solar panels, or both! c) The standard of living is pretty high. Among other things, you could live, sleeping on a park bench, for 10 months out of the year. Obviously, the situation is not good, but don't cry for Cyprus. The people there are quite able to handle much, much, worse; more than likely, they will fare much better than us!

    Christopher
Bruce replies.

Thank you for that insight. Truly the lifestyle of many peoples in many places of the world better prepares them for a crunch/crash/catastrophe.


At Ark Two

Busy week this week coming up. Lots to do with the radio project. Jemma dog to the Easter Egg hunt. JW memorial observation which I have gone to for many years. Big robotics contest in Toronto that I am attending with some of the family. And the glorious problem of having to move a half ton of wheat that is being donated. So many other things also that I can hardly name them.

Anyway - here is the newsletter, although you may think the 'news' all irrelevant by the time that you read it.

Peace and love,
Bruce
DawnSayer@webpal.org

This is the old man and doggy picture.
    Bruce Beach
    161 Main St.
    Horning's Mills
    Ontario L0N 1J0
    Canada
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